Due to PC and a series of new embedded system application chip stable growth, the market research firm IDC predicts that the global semiconductor market revenue will be in the next 5 years with an average compound annual growth rate of 8.8% (CAGR), reached $344 billion in 2014; however, the agency also believes that the second half of 2010 industry growth rate will slow down.
IDC semiconductor industry analyst Mali Venkatesan pointed out that since the beginning of the second half of 2009 the recovery of the global economy is facing the risk of growth slowed down, mainly because of the euro crisis, macro economic system, the U.S. unemployment rate continued rising consumer confidence, and the "BRIC asset bubble" concerns.
"In this context, originally expected in the second half of 2010 industry growth, may be postponed to early 2011;" Venkatesan said: "however, we still believe that the intelligent mobile phone, including mobile PC, multimedia tablet device and automotive applications, in 2010 and 2011 will show strong growth. "
Global semiconductor industry revenues declined by 9% in 2009, IDC said, industrial orders in the fourth quarter of 2009 and experienced explosive growth in the first quarter of 2010, has now stabilized. The agency expects the second half of, the market demand will return to stable and consistent with seasonal changes, to maintain the current business cycle requires further demand.
IDC has recently raised the forecast value of wafer industry growth in 2010 to 33%, of which PC is expected to grow by a chip of, the best performance in all applications. The agency also believes that the PC chip market will continue to expand at an average annual growth rate of 12.2% over the next five years, with the main driving force of the company's PC sales in.
As for industrial, military, aerospace and automotive semiconductor market, the average annual growth rate is expected to maintain 13.2% before 2014; IDC pointed out that the main driving force in this field from alternative energy sources, LED lighting and other emerging markets, and the trend of automobile internal use of more and more semi conductor elements. In addition the embedded application chip market is expected to grow by 20% this year.
However, IDC said that this year, wireless and consumer applications chip revenue performance is probably not very good; the former due to price pressures and mobile phone memory growth slowed, revenue growth in the next five years will be a bit digital. The sales growth rate this year is forecast to be 5.8%, and because the portable multimedia playing device demand weakened, until 2014 the growth rate will slow down.
Memory chips are expected to show more than 52% sales growth in 2010 reached $66 billion 700 million; but IDC believes in the manufacturers to enhance the production capacity due to demand, the market revenue in 2011 and 2012 will be flat or slightly declining. It is understood that the memory market appears out of state since the 4 since the end of.
In the region, the Asia Pacific region's contribution to the global semiconductor industry revenue continues to rise; IDC estimates to 2014, the proportion will exceed 45%.
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