The fourth session of the new energy investment strategy, industry analyst Song Jia said that the cost reduction is the key to the LED lighting market opening, China's LED has the lowest cost but not cheap, cost reduction has five main paths. Song Jia said, LED is about to usher in the third round of growth cycle, the first round of growth cycle: mobile applications, the second round of growth cycle: large size LCD backlight; third round of growth cycle: General lighting. LCD backlight is the main driving force, Universal Lighting era is coming. The backlight market automotive lighting market $5 billion 600 million; $18 billion; the general lighting market $70 billion, is 12 times the backlight market, will reach $120 billion by 2020; Song Jia believes that cost reduction is the key to open the general lighting, China LED lighting has the lowest cost, but the cost recovery period for more than 9 years; LED cost recovery during the period of less than 2 to 3 years is the outbreak of the lighting market.
He said, LED lighting costs fell 80% in the next 5 years, the main way to have the following five:
One way: luminous efficiency;
Route two: yield improvement;
Route three: wafer and device upgrades;
Route four: packaging scale and technological innovation;
Route five: the whole industry chain compression margins.
LED general lighting 2013 outbreak
LED chip cost forecast in 2015 from the current $20 /klm fell to $2.9 /klm, lamp costs dropped to $15 /klm;
By the end of 2012, cold white LED cost recovery period of less than 3 years;
By the end of 2013, warm white LED cost recovery period of less than 3 years.
Effective control of the cost, then the price of LED lighting expensive problem will be solved, LED lighting into the room will be more smooth
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