At present, LED manufacturers in the LCD panel and LCD TV manufacturers to meet the needs of manufacturers at the same time, also must satisfy the LED lighting backlight outside demand situation. In response to these circumstances, LED manufacturers to speed up the pace of cost reduction and improve performance. The technical development that has been carried out for this has seen the successful way. In addition, the LED manufacturers are also committed to improving capacity.
The target value of the cost reduction for 2011 to 0.5 yen /lm. Now the cost of 1 to 1.5 yen /lm. Originally planned to halve in 3 years. Now shortened to 2 years halved. As a result, LED prices will gradually consistent with the LCD panel industry. Performance objectives, plans to achieve 200lm/W by 2011. Leading companies are expected to achieve this goal. In the 3 years ended 2008, the performance increased from 50lm/W to 100lm/W, in 2011 should be able to achieve 200lm/W.
Technical preparation for achieving the above objectives is not slack. Have been put into the development of LED chip, phosphor and packaging technology. These technologies will be improved in the future. This will speed up the pace of cost reduction and performance improvement.
The production system will also be improved at a faster rate. For example, Nichia plans in 2009 to 2011 3 years, the equipment investment of more than samsung. Estimated total investment of 3 years will be close to 90 billion ~ 100 billion yen. Therefore, production capacity will be 1.5 times the annual rate of expansion. Other LED vendors are also considering the same equipment investment.
LED lighting market to speed up the rise
With the increasing competition between existing LED vendors and emerging LED vendors, began to make continuous progress in cost reduction and performance improvement, LED lighting market to further expand the virtuous cycle.
For example, the current price of LED bulbs is less than 4000 yen, if the future price can be reduced to the same proportion of the cost of LED chips, then it can be reduced to less than 2000 yen. If you can achieve the price, the possibility of rapid expansion of the LED bulb market is very high. Therefore, in terms of market share in terms of the amount of money, LED bulbs will be synchronized with the bulb type fluorescent lamp, and even more likely than the bulb type fluorescent lamp.
Acceleration of cost and performance improvement
LED manufacturers began to launch new technologies. All of the technologies used by LED, such as chip, phosphor, package and so on, are improved at the same time. This leads to a higher cost and performance improvement than previous ones. Figure according to the data of LED lighting propulsion agreement (JLEDS).
In addition, the fluorescent lamp type LED (straight pipe) is currently in the economy is not as good as fluorescent lamps, but by 2011 due to the cost reduction and performance improvement of LED, it is possible to achieve considerable economic and fluorescent lamps. In other words, the initial cost of fluorescent lamp type LED is higher, but if taking into account its long life, low power consumption can reduce electricity consumption and other factors, the overall cost of the consumer may pay less than fluorescent lamps.
Although many lighting manufacturers and LED manufacturers believe that LED replace the fluorescent lamp, but also can not see the results, but if the cost of 0.5 yen in 2011 to achieve /lm and 200lm/W performance, it is expected to replace fluorescent lamps. Consumers have a high degree of concern in this regard, which is an excellent opportunity to expand the market. Cost reductions and performance improvements will further expand the LED lighting market.
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